Kobaca dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa la filayaa inuu hoos u dhaco rubuci labaad ee sanadkan, sida laga soo xigtay Warbixinta Dhaqaalaha iyo Dhaqaalaha Shiinaha ee uu sii daayay Machadka Cilmi-baarista ee Bankiga Shiinaha."Isku soo wada duuboo, hoos u dhaca dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa la filayaa inuu ku yaraado 4 boqolkiiba rubuci labaad.""Warbixintu waxay tiri.
Sida laga soo xigtay warbixinta, kobaca dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa sii ahaan doona mid daciif ah 2023 sababtoo ah isbeddelka joogtada ah ee muuqaalka siyaasadda iyo dhaqaalaha caalamiga ah, baahida dibadda ee liidata, daciifinta taageerada qiimaha iyo saldhigga sare ee 2022. Wax dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa hoos u dhacay 6.8 boqolkiiba marka loo eego dollarka marka loo eego inta u dhaxaysa Janaayo iyo Febraayo laga bilaabo sanad ka hor.
Marka loo eego aragtida shuraakada waaweyn ee ganacsiga, isbeddelka kala duwanaanshaha ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha ayaa kordhay.Laga soo bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Febraayo 2023, wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ee Mareykanka ayaa sii waday inuu si xun u koro, hoos u dhaco 21.8% sanadka, taas oo ah 2.3 dhibcood ka weyn tii December 2022. Dhoofinta Midowga Yurub iyo Japan wax yar ayaa hoos u dhacay, laakiin heerka kobaca weli ma noqon mid togan, siday u kala horreeyaan -12.2% iyo -1.3%.Dhoofinta ASEAN si dhakhso leh ayey u kortay, iyada oo dardargelinaysa 1.5 dhibcood sanad-sanad ilaa 9% laga bilaabo Disembar 2022.
Marka loo eego qaab dhismeedka badeecada, kobaca dhoofinta badeecadaha iyo baabuurta kor u kaca ayaa ah mid aad u sarreeya, halka dhoofinta alaabada xoogga leh ay sii socoto hoos u dhaca.Laga soo bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Febraayo 2023, dhoofinta badeecadaha saliidda la safeeyey iyo alaabada birta ayaa kordhay 101.8% iyo 27.5%, siday u kala horreeyaan.Heerarka kobaca baabuurta ee sanadka-sanad ka ee baabuurta iyo qaybaha baabuurta ayaa ahaa 65.2% iyo 4%, siday u kala horreeyaan.Tirada dhoofinta baabuurta (370,000 unug) ayaa gaadhay heerkii ugu sarreeyey, taasoo kor u kacday 68.2 boqolkiiba sannadkii, taasoo ka qayb qaadatay qiyaastii 60.3 boqolkiiba kobaca qiimaha dhoofinta baabuurta.
Sida warbixinta lagu sheegay, dhoofinta alaabta guryaha, alaabta ay ku ciyaaraan, balaastikada, kabaha iyo alaabta dharka ayaa sii socota inay hoos u dhacdo, iyadoo dhaqaalaha horumaray ee Yurub iyo Maraykanka ay yihiin kuwo daciif ah baahida badeecadaha ee joogtada ah, wareegga burburinta shirkadaha weli ma dhammaan, iyo wadamada wax soo saarka. maadaama Vietnam, Mexico iyo India ay qayb ka qaateen wax soo saarka Shiinaha ee qaybaha xoogga badan ee shaqada.Waxay hoos u dhaceen 17.2%, 10.1%, 9.7%, 11.6% and 14.7%, kuwaas oo ahaa 2.6, 0.7, 7, 13.8 iyo 4.4 dhibcood ka sarreeya bishii Diseembar 2022, siday u kala horreeyaan.
Laakiin kobaca dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa ka fiicneyd rajada suuqa, iyadoo hoos u dhac uu ku soo yaraaday boqolkiiba 3.1 laga soo bilaabo Disembar 2022. Sida laga soo xigtay warbixinta, sababaha ugu waaweyn ee xaaladda kor ku xusan waa sidan soo socota.
Marka hore, baahida caalamiga ah ayaa ka wanaagsan sidii la filayay.Halka US ISM-soo-saarka PMI ay ku hadhay dhul qandaraasleed bishii Febraayo, waxay kor u kacday boqolkiiba 0.3 laga bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa 47.7 boqolkiiba, horumarkii ugu horreeyay muddo lix bilood ah.Kalsoonida macaamiishu waxay sidoo kale horumartay Yurub iyo Japan.Laga soo bilaabo tusmada heerka xamuulka, ilaa badhtamihii Febraayo, Baltic-ga qallalan ee bulk index (BDI), index heerka maraakiibta xeebaha (TDOI) ayaa bilaabay inay hoos u dhacaan.Marka labaad, fasaxa dib-u-soo-celinta shaqada iyo wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ayaa la dardar-geliyay, qodobbada xannibay ee silsiladda warshadaha iyo silsiladda sahayda ayaa la nadiifiyay, iyo dib-u-celinta amarrada inta lagu jiro heerka ugu sarreeya ee cudurka ayaa si buuxda loo sii daayay, iyada oo siisay xoogaa kor u qaadis ah oo dhoofinta ah. koritaanka.Saddex, noocyada cusub ee ganacsiga shisheeye waxay noqdeen xoog muhiim u ah koritaanka dhoofinta.Tilmaanta ganacsiga e-commerce-ka-goysyada ee rubuca koowaad ee 2023 ayaa ka sarreeyay isla muddadaas 2022, iyo mugga ganacsiga ee Zhejiang, Shandong, Shenzhen iyo gobollada kale ee hormuudka ka ah horumarinta foomamka ganacsiga shisheeye ee cusub guud ahaan waxay lahaayeen a kobac aad u sarreeya sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya.Waxaa ka mid ah, mugga dhoofinta ganacsiga e-commerce ee xudduudaha ee Zhejiang laga bilaabo Janaayo ilaa Febraayo wuxuu kordhay 73.2% sanad-sannadka.
Warbixintu waxay aaminsan tahay in kobaca dhoofinta Shiinaha la filayo inuu hoos u dhaco rubuci labaad, fursadaha qaabdhismeedka ayaa mudan in fiiro gaar ah loo yeesho.Laga soo bilaabo qodobka hoos u dhigaya, dayactirka baahida dibadda ayaa leh hubanti la'aan.Sicir bararka caalamiga ah ayaa weli ah mid sarreeya waxaana jirta suurtogalnimo sare oo ah in dhaqaalaha horumaray ee Yurub iyo Maraykanku ay kor u qaadaan heerka dulsaarka "tallaabooyinka ilmaha" qaybta hore ee 2023, taas oo hoos u dhigaysa baahida caalamiga ah.Wareega burburinta ee wadamada waaweyn ee horumaray wali ma dhamaan, saamiga alaabada-iibka ee badi badeecooyinka Maraykanka ayaa wali ku sugan meel sare oo ka badan 1.5, taas oo muujinaysa horumar la taaban karo marka la barbar dhigo dhamaadka 2022. Isla sidaas oo kale Muddada 2022, saldhigga ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha wuxuu ahaa mid aad u sarreeya, iyadoo heerka kobaca sanadlaha ah uu ahaa 16.3% bishii Maajo iyo 17.1% bishii Juun.Natiijo ahaan, dhoofinta ayaa kor u kacday 12.4 boqolkiiba rubuci labaad.